Therapeutic index, ED50, TD50 and LD50

This chapter is related to one of the aims of Section C(ii) from the 2023 CICM Primary Syllabus, which expects the exam candidate to "define and explain dose-effect relationships of drugs, including dose-response curves with reference to...therapeutic index". The therapeutic index is actually only one of the many interesting anatomical features of a quantal dose-response curve, and one might argue that the "therapeutic index" in the college syllabus is, in fact, a code for "all terms and definitions pertaining to the interpretation of quantal dose-response graphs". One might also argue that, because this material has never come up in any of the historical part paper SAQs, any in-depth discussion of it represents a frivolous waste of trainee time. The latter, of course, has never been a deterrent to this author; and given the ubiquity of these items in professional literature, it would not be surprising for the college to one day inject this topic into a particularly vicious viva station.

The best brief introduction into this area can be seen in Mark von Zastrow's chapter for the 14th edition of Katzung's Basic and Clinical Pharmacology. If one does not own this textbook or lacks institutional access, one may be able to avail themselves of the 9th edition which defies all expectations by somehow existing online as a freely available pdf. The relevant material can be found on page 31 of von Zastrow's chapter, which corresponds to page 47 of the pdf.  For something more detailed, one might try to get a hold of Therapeutic Index by Abughazaleh & Tracy (2007) which is locked behind the Wiley paywall. 

In summary:

  • Quantal dose-response graphs can be characterised by the median effective dose (ED50)
  • The median effective dose is the dose at which 50% of individuals exhibit the specified quantal effect
  • The median toxic dose is the dose required to produce a defined toxic effect in 50% of subjects
  • The median lethal dose is the dose required to kill 50% of subjects
  • The therapeutic index is the ratio of the TD50 to the ED50 , a parameter which reflects the selectivity of a drug to elicit a desired effect rather than toxicity.
  • The therapeutic window is the range between the minimum toxic dose and the minimum therapeutic dose, or the range of doses over which the drug is effective for most of the popuation and the toxicity is accceptable.

    Anatomy of the quantal dose-response graph

    When faced with the need to discuss these curves in some sort of hypothetical viva situation, the CICM exam candidate should avail themselves of a scrap of paper, and reproduce a diagram which, at minimum, should contain the following elements:

    • Three sigmoid curves
    • The median effective dose (ED50)
    • The median toxic dose (TD50)
    • The median lethal dose (LD50)
    • The therapeutic window

    The end result should look something like this:

    quantal dose-response curve with ED50 TD50 LD50

    Having produced this, the exam candidate may be called upon to elaborate.


    Median therapeutic dose, ED50

    This thing is distinct from the identical ED50 in graded dose-response curves, where it corresponds to a measure of the potency of a drug, being the dose of a drug required to produce 50% of that drug’s maximal effect. In quantal dose-response curves, the Katzung textbook defines ED50  as

    "the dose at which 50% of individuals exhibit the specified quantal effect" 

    The International Union of Pharmacology Committee on Receptor Nomenclature and Drug Classification (Neubig et al, 2003) give an "official" definition as "the dose of a drug that produces, on average, a specified all-or-none response in 50% of a test population" which is essentially the same as the Katzung one, and in fact all the textbooks generally use a similar selection of words to express exactly the same content.

    So, what is the point of this metric?

    • It permits drug effect to be anticipated by clinicians
    • It allows manufacturers to recommend dose ranges for safe prescribing


    • It depends entirely on the definition of the quantal response. When studying an antibiotic, is the endpoint complete elimination of bacteria from the blood, or is it clinical resolution of infection, or is it the inhibition of bacterial growth? Reported ED50s are therefore potentially completely different among published investigators.
    • It does not necessarily represent a clinically relevant dose, which is the dose you actually prescribe. That might be higher or lower. For instance, when looking at cardiovascular mortality prevention as the end-point for quantal effect, one might discover that one is occasionally prescribing candesartan in doses which are 32 times the ED50 (Dimmitt et al, 2017). 
    • It may not be the clinical outcome of interest. To have 50% of one's patients anaesthetised would be a pretty low bar to clear. For this reason, some may prefer to use ED95 (effective dose for 95% of the population).

    Median toxic dose, TD50

     This is the dose at which some clinically relevant toxic effect is reported in 50% of the tested population. To borrow credibility from von Zastrow, it is

    "the dose required to produce a particular toxic effect in 50% of animals"

    All the definitions offered by the major textbooks are much the same. Again, like for all quantal dose-response relationships, many different interpretations are available of what a toxic effect is, and numerous TD50s for each drug may be generated. 

    quantal dose-response curve with lots of TDs

    There are all sorts of problems with determining the TD50:

    • The TD50 may be difficult to model or measure experimentally. A toxic effect may be predictable (for example, the extension of the drugs' therapeutic effect, such as warfarin and anticoagulation) or it may be completely unpredictable and idiosyncratic (eg. statins and rhabdomyolysis). In the latter case, toxicity becomes difficult to study.
    • The toxicity may develop only after years of post-marketing data.  Carcinogenesis  would not be revealed by 12-month follow-up in a clinical trial of cigarettes,
    • The toxicity may be completely unrelated to dose. For some toxic effects (eg. anaphylaxis), the TD50 is completely meaningless because even a minute dose will produce the effect in susceptible individuals, and in the non-susceptible population the likelihood of toxicity does not increase with dose, no matter how much of the drug you give.

    Median lethal dose, LD50

    Predictably, this is the dose required to kill 50% of a test subject population. LD50 is identical in definition to TD50, except the toxic effect is death. The 14th edition of Katzung does not define it much beyond this level, nor does Neubig et al (2003), probably because it would be pointless to do so. If one were to look for a gold standard, one could go to the ancient yellowed manuscript by J.W Trevan, who first introduced the concept into scientific discourse in 1927 as a means of defeating the contemporary error of comparing drugs in term of minimum toxic dose.

    "I would suggest that the term “ minimal lethal dose,” with its variable meaning, should be dropped altogether, and that toxicity should be stated primarily in terms of the “ median lethal dose,” that is the dose which kills 50 per cent, of a large group of animals. As a convenient abbreviation I would suggest for this the symbol LD 50"

    To offer a suitable sacrifice for the gods of pharmacology, Trevan generated his LD50 graph by using data from 370 laboratory mice who were injected with lethal doses of cocaine.

    Obviously, as with everything, there are some problems with the usefulness of LD50  as a means of comparing drugs. For example:

    • Death may not represent a useful endpoint: toxicity is a continuum, and functionally for the purposes of the clinician there is only a trivial practical distinction between the states of  "dead from cocaine" and "almost dead from cocaine". 
    • Pharmacokinetics change the LD50 the rapid administration of phenytoin may be fatal, whereas the same dose administered slowly may have no toxic effects whatsoever. Nonlinear pharmacokinetics (eg. where increasing the dose also increases or decreases the clearance) factors into this.

    The therapeutic index (or ratio)

    The literature seems to use the terms "therapeutic index" and "therapeutic ratio" in a way which might suggest that they are synonymous, even though there is an SAQ in the local anaesthetic primary exam which asked the candidates to interpret each term separately. Fortunately, CICM examiners have not yet plagiarised this question.  In Katzung, the therapeutic index is defined as

    "the ratio of the TD50 to the ED50 for some therapeutically relevant effect"

    The official IUPC documents don't seem to have any sort of gospel answer, and every piece of literature seems to have some arbitrary way of defining this concept. Abughazaleh & Tracy (2007) acknowledge this. "Although the general concept of the therapeutic index is describable by most individuals", they begin their article, all sorts of operational issues (like the lack of a formal definition) "continue to confound determination and clinical utility of the ‘‘therapeutic index.’’". These pharmacologists' authority as experts (Wiley gave them a chapter from their Encyclopedia of Clinical Trials) suggests that one should at least be vaguely aware of how they define this concept:

    "Therapeutic index is most commonly defined as the ratio of the median lethal dose (LD50) to the median effective dose (ED50), as determined in preclinical animal studies, [which] reflects the selectivity of a drug to elicit a desired effect rather than toxicity"

    All of these variants are probably valid on some level, but the exam-going CICM trainee would probably be better off treating Katzung as the definitive official source for this sort of thing. As such, the von Zastrow definition is used for the purposes of the diagrams here.

    therapeutic index

    What is the point of the therapeutic index?

    • It is a numeric measure of the selectivity of the drug for its desired effect. The larger the value, the safer the drug, one could crudely say.
    • It guides the need for therapeutic level monitoring. Drugs with a narrow therapeutic index should be monitored more closely. 
    • It guides the dosing interval. Or rather, it theoretically could. The drug with a narrow index would need to be given more frequently and in smaller doses.

    For real-life bedside clinical purposes, this therapeutic index concept leaves much to be desired.

    • The original equation calls for a measurement of LD50 (TI = LD50/ED50), which would inconvenient to determine experimentally in humans. 
    • Comparison between therapeutic indices of different drugs is unreliable. An infinite number of different therapeutic indices can be calculated for any drug, because different desired or toxic effects can be chosen as endpoints. 
    • It is unhelpful in the cases of idiosyncratic reactions, or where the adverse reaction is completely unrelated to dose (eg. anaphylaxis). 
    • It misrepresents risk. The dose-response curves for the desired effect and the toxic effect may be very different in their slope. In fact, though pharmacology textbooks always draw beautifully parallel curves, there is absolutely no scientific reason for this to be so. Observe two drugs:
      therapeutic indices for drugs of different lethalityAs you can see, the drug on the left kills approximately 10% of people at ED50, and in order to achieve full effect reliably in 100% of the population, one would need to tolerate a mortality of 80%.  In contrast, drug on the right does not cause any deaths at ED50, but then rapidly becomes lethal. Obviously the "selectivity of a drug to elicit a desired effect rather than toxicity" is somewhat different between these substances, but the therapeutic index would remain the same.

    Therapeutic range (or window)

    In Katzung, the therapeutic window is defined as

    "The range between the minimum toxic dose and the minimum therapeutic dose"

    In contrast, Birkett (1995) called this a therapeutic range , and describes it using an example rather than offering any exam-worthy definition. The therapeutic range, he says, is the range of drug concentrations "which gives a therapeutic effect... in most patients with an acceptable incidence of adverse effects." 

    The concept of the "therapeutic window" is perhaps more reasonable and flexible than the therapeutic index.  Again, it has no formal definition, but most authors describe it as the dose range over which drug is effective and relatively non-toxic in most of the population. The von Zastrow definition quoted above is actually not seen very often in the literature because it fails to define what an acceptable minimum is (one percent of the population? Ten percent?).  

    Certain Safety factor (CSF)

    Some related terms become confluent with the therapeutic window in the literature. For example, the highly venerated Brandis website defines the therapeutic window as the percentage by which the ED99 must be increased to achieve TD1, which closely resembles the definition of the CSF (Certain Safety Factor), otherwise referred to as the Margin of Safety. This metric has the advantage of not requiring the exposure of test subjects to doses which will cause toxicity in 50% of them, but therre obvious disadvantages as well. For example, it may be impossible to achieve a response in 99% of the population (i.e. ED99 often cannot be established) and some mild toxic effect in 1% of the population might be viewed as a trivial risk which has minimal clinical relevance. 


    Dimmitt, Simon, Hans Stampfer, and Jennifer H. Martin. "When less is more–efficacy with less toxicity at the ED50." British journal of clinical pharmacology 83.7 (2017): 1365-1368.

    Neubig, Richard R., et al. "International Union of Pharmacology Committee on Receptor Nomenclature and Drug Classification. XXXVIII. Update on terms and symbols in quantitative pharmacology." Pharmacological reviews 55.4 (2003): 597-606.

    Abughazaleh, R. D., & Tracy, T. S. (2014). Therapeutic Index. Wiley StatsRef: Statistics Reference Online.doi:10.1002/9781118445112.stat07121. Originally published online in 2007 in Wiley Encyclopedia of Clinical Trials, © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. and republished in Wiley StatsRef: Statistics Reference Online, 2014.

    Trevan, John William. "The error of determination of toxicity." Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 101.712 (1927): 483-514.

    Zhou, Jian-Xin, et al. "The efficacy and safety of intravenous emulsified isoflurane in rats." Anesthesia & Analgesia 102.1 (2006): 129-134.